Is the Web Services hype curve reaching the tipping point? It certainly seems to be for MS. We get Steve Gillmore in Infoworld;  the media hounds crying wolf again, and again, and IBM releasing WoW (Web Services on WebSphere). And now Verisign want to own Web Services security. You'd think there'd be a third way between MS and Java? But when even Bruce Schneier (who is definitely not stupid) starts talking in the Cryptogram Newsletter about "Microsoft's SOAP" and how tunneling SOAP through firewalls on port 80 is BAD, BAD, BAD, you realize that it's all just noise and there is no reasonable analysis out there. And that's all just a sample from three days. I guess it's time to just put your head down and write some code.

This all seems horribly familiar to me. In the dot-boom (boom) years, you couldn't move for pundits telling everyone about how B2B would be revolutionized by auctions. Or was it procurement. Or maybe private netmarkets. Or that dealing with the last yard delivery problem was the only thing holding back B2C. Or portals, push and P2P. And that stuff was pretty easy to understand technology. This time around we're pumping a technology path that very few people understand.

It's like Burningbird says. Just Deja Vu, all over again!


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[ 20-Feb-02 7:28pm ]